Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.068642 0.079863 0.092259 0.106958 0.123901 0.142810 0.165503
2024-10-27 0.049530 0.063836 0.081229 0.103884 0.132572 0.167644 0.213736
2024-11-03 0.040029 0.055981 0.076908 0.106268 0.146292 0.198832 0.272918
2024-11-10 0.034411 0.051517 0.075422 0.111089 0.162754 0.234644 0.342012
2024-11-17 0.029658 0.047130 0.072931 0.113541 0.175541 0.266255 0.408591
2024-11-24 0.025532 0.042817 0.069643 0.113941 0.184825 0.293280 0.471073
2024-12-01 0.022084 0.038915 0.066257 0.113430 0.192219 0.317767 0.531916
2024-12-08 0.019128 0.035303 0.062720 0.111995 0.197625 0.339295 0.589948
2024-12-15 0.017521 0.033741 0.062324 0.115645 0.211717 0.376169 0.676931
2024-12-22 0.016082 0.032241 0.061782 0.118862 0.225261 0.413300 0.768030
2024-12-29 0.014939 0.031110 0.061720 0.122852 0.240500 0.454738 0.870779
2025-01-05 0.013859 0.029933 0.061388 0.126227 0.254861 0.495867 0.976950
2025-01-12 0.012087 0.027127 0.057603 0.122538 0.255521 0.512175 1.039369
2025-01-19 0.010583 0.024661 0.054175 0.119126 0.256316 0.528820 1.104314
2025-01-26 0.009828 0.023713 0.053756 0.121872 0.269901 0.571817 1.225857
2025-02-02 0.009375 0.023378 0.054593 0.127381 0.289856 0.629563 1.383224
2025-02-09 0.008753 0.022551 0.054230 0.130180 0.304252 0.677207 1.524248
2025-02-16 0.008031 0.021373 0.052913 0.130637 0.313476 0.714759 1.647380
2025-02-23 0.007321 0.020117 0.051247 0.130055 0.320234 0.747561 1.763297
2025-03-02 0.006628 0.018796 0.049249 0.128417 0.324313 0.774755 1.869268
2025-03-09 0.006319 0.018448 0.049600 0.132582 0.342680 0.836058 2.059220
2025-03-16 0.006006 0.018041 0.049751 0.136252 0.360225 0.897107 2.254420
2025-03-23 0.005756 0.017773 0.050224 0.140803 0.380443 0.966330 2.475589